Week 8 NFL picks from my Elo model are detailed below. Winners are [these ones], as ever. I do not think any of these are particularly egregious. The only ones that stick out to me this week are the Cardinals and Raiders winning. Both are still probably rather overrated in my model. San Francisco are not that good and Arizona are at home, hence they come out ahead as a 60% favourite. It is a similar story with Oakland and Indianapolis.
Pittsburgh are my biggest favourites this week, at close to 90%. Let us hope that they can do more than just tie with the Browns when they host them. The Chiefs, Rams and Patriots are also big favourites, no surprises there.
Miami Dolphins at [Houston Texans]
[Philadelphia Eagles] vs Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Jets at [Chicago Bears]
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at [Cincinnati Bengals]
Seattle Seahawks at [Detroit Lions]
Denver Broncos at [Kansas City Chiefs]
[Washington Redskins] at New York Giants
Cleveland Browns at [Pittsburgh Steelers]
Baltimore Ravens at [Carolina Panthers]
Indianapolis Colts at [Oakland Raiders]
Green Bay Packers at [Los Angeles Rams]
San Francisco 49ers at [Arizona Cardinals]
New Orleans Saints at [Minnesota Vikings]
[New England Patriots] at Buffalo Bills
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