The 2018 NFL season has not been particularly kind to me so far in terms of predictions (or bets, although still in profit - just!). This is definitely because the results have just been plain wrong and not because my model is getting things incorrect.
My model's picks for week 4 are below. Predicted winners are highlighted like [this].
Minnesota Vikings at [Los Angeles Rams]
Cincinnati Bengals at [Atlanta Falcons]
[Tampa Bay Buccaneers] at Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions at [Dallas Cowboys]
Buffalo Bills at [Green Bay Packers]
[Philadelphia Eagles] at Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans at [Indianapolis Colts]
Miami Dolphins at [New England Patriots]
New York Jets at [Jacksonville Jaguars]
Cleveland Browns at [Oakland Raiders]
[Seattle Seahawks] at Arizona Cardinals
[New Orleans Saints] at New York Giants
San Francisco 49ers at [Los Angeles Chargers]
Baltimore Ravens at [Pittsburgh Steelers]
[Kansas City Chiefs] at Denver Broncos
It is good to see my model went for the Rams over the Vikings. The Vikings were a highly (Elo) rated team coming into the season and the Rams not quite so much. The Rams have looked good this season, the Vikings not so much.
The Dolphins at the Patriots should be an interesting game. To see if the Patriots can bounce back from a disappointing start to the season against the undefeated Dolphins.
I have Tampa Bay beating Chicago, but it is very close, the closest game of this week. Wild offence from Tampa versus the strong defence of Chicago. Maybe it will go down to how many interceptions Fitzpatrick throws.
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