Thursday, 9 August 2018

CFL To Date

I am doing this catch-up article on the Canadian Football League as, although I have been betting on it all of this season, I only started this blog the other day.

It is 8 weeks into the CFL season and my betting has been incredibly profitable thus far. I’m sure I am riding the crest of wave of good fortune and the tide will turn soon but for now I am basking in the glory.

The table below shows all of the games through the first 8 weeks with my models predicted winners and actual winners. This equates to a 74% success rate in picking the game winners in 2018 so far. I don’t know if there are any real surprises in there. Maybe the week 4 game between Hamilton and Saskatchewan. I’ve got much more on that in a forthcoming article on Saskatchewan being underrated around that time of the season.



I have only placed 3 bets so far in the 2018 CFL season out of the 31 games through week 8. All winners, all on underdogs and all against Hamilton. These were:

Week 4, Saskatchewan hosting Hamilton at +222
Week 6, Saskatchewan at Hamilton at +447
Week 7, Ottawa at Hamilton at +192

I’ve graphed this out below:




This is evidently a low volume of bets but that's just what my model throws up, it is a fairly low volume system.

This gives me an ROI on my bets of 286%, which is laughably high and unsustainable – but I’ll enjoy it whilst it lasts.

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